A woman holds up a portrait of Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed at a rally in the capital Addis Ababa on Sunday to back the armed forces. AFP
A rebel leader fighting Ethiopia’s government has said his troops are near the capital and preparing another attack, predicting the war will end “very soon” as diplomats rush to negotiate a ceasefire.
Jaal Marroo, commander of the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA), warned Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed that pro-government fighters were defecting and the rebels were very close to victory.
“What I am sure [of] is that it is going to end very soon,” Jaal, whose real name is Kumsa Diriba, told AFP in a phone interview on November 7. “We are preparing to push for another launch, and for another attack. The government is just trying to buy time, and they are trying to instigate civil war in this country, so they are calling for the nation to fight.”
The OLA and its allies, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), have claimed several victories in recent weeks, taking towns about 400km from Addis Ababa, and have not ruled out marching on the capital.
Jaal said his fighters were now just 40km from Addis and had “never moved [back] an inch” from territory they controlled.
AFP could not independently confirm his claim.
Much of the conflict-affected zone is under a communications blackout and access for journalists is restricted, making battlefield positions difficult to verify.
The government has rejected suggestions the rebels are within striking distance of Addis Ababa, but has ordered the capital to prepare to defend itself.
“While we are being tested on many fronts, our collective will to realise the path we have embarked upon has strengthened us,” Abiy said on Twitter on November 8, a day after tens of thousands marched in Addis Ababa in support of the government.
Government spokeswoman Selamawit Kassa said the military had carried out air strikes on November 8 in Tigray and a “strategic” location between Amhara and Afar regions, without giving further details.
The rebels say they have taken key towns in southeastern Amhara, close to the Afar border.
Ethiopia’s Human Rights Commission on November 8 expressed concern about a sweeping crackdown in Addis Ababa since a nationwide state of emergency was declared on November 2.
“The commission … has verified that arrests are being conducted in a manner that seems to be based on identity and ethnicity,” it said, adding that those detained included mothers with children.
A number of countries have urged citizens not to travel to Ethiopia. The UN has suspended non-essential travel to Addis Ababa, citing the “deterioration of security conditions in parts of Ethiopia, including the potential for a very serious security impact” in the capital, according to an internal communique dated November 6 and seen by AFP on November 8.
Jaal said the OLA posed “no threat” to ordinary civilians but that Abiy and his ruling Prosperity Party have to be “completely removed and cleared” for reconciliation to begin.
“We will make Ethiopia – not just Ethiopia, the Horn of Africa – a peaceful, very stable place to live in. I am very confident there is not going to be conflict after Abiy Ahmed’s regime,” he said.
The OLA has been accused of multiple massacres of ethnic Amhara civilians – charges it denies.
